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Africa’s Top 5 most politically-stable countries

President Ian Khama is proving to be a successful leader for Botswana. [1]
Political stability is a quality hard to acquire in African governments, and often fleeting once obtained. Politicians once taking office can hijack a democratic system to remain in power indefinitely, turning the country into a ‘paper democracy’ that has democratic institutions like a constitution, courts and legislature but in fact is an autocracy whose governance institutions serve the head of state. Political stability is also a relatively new factor in the governance of Africa. The longest continuously stable democracy is Botswana. The vast arid country has faced its own governance issues but remained committed to its constitutional roots that ensure a government that benefits the Botswana people rather than any one leader.

Is there a formula that allows an African country to sidestep the pitfalls of military coups d’état and ambitious tyrants that in an instant can upend years of progressive democratic governance? The answer lies within the collective will of the governed, the people of any country.  The pro-democracy movement that in 2011 rid North Africa of its despots during the Arab Spring and the subsequent removal of long-seated autocrats in Angola, Burkina-Faso, The Gambia and Zimbabwe, suggests that populations are willing to be denied their political rights only for a finite period of time. In Togo, President Faure Gnassingbé whose family has ruled since 1967 is subject to massive weekly street demonstrations seeking an end to his dynasty. In the Democratic Republic of Congo, another family dynasty continues as Joseph Kabila remains in office more than a year after his last presidential term expired. However, he must rely on security forces to suppress unprecedented resistance from political opposition groups. Though in office less than two years, Tanzania’s President John Magufuli and Zambia’s President Edgar Lungu are showing alarming autocratic tendencies that will subsume their countries’ political freedoms if the Tanzanian and Zambian people allow.

There are several measures of a country’s political stability. These include the years of normal governance, where free and fair elections have yielded peaceful transfers of power and no coups d’état have occurred. The integrity of elections is another indicator of political stability, as are constitutional limits to presidential terms. Strong governance institutions must provide checks and balances, with executive and legislature branches on equal footing and courts empowered to oversee the other two branches and rule on the constitutionality of new laws. Armies must be under civilian control. The media must be free, and freedom of expression be unconstrained. Platforms must exist for the public to report corruption and human rights abuses, and these bodies must have the power to investigate and rectify these evils.

Just as the Africa Country Benchmark Report for 2017 amalgamated business, economic, political and social indexes to create an inclusive and holistic view of each African country’s performance, a review of this data also gives insights into which countries have successfully established politically stable governments. These countries are templates for which other African peoples may follow.

For achievement in political stability, here are Africa’s Top 5 most solidly and democratically-governed countries:

What do these five nations have in common? Belying the suggestion that political stability is easier to achieve in countries with small populations is the presence of Ghana on the list. (Populous South Africa ranked number six on ACBR’s country ranking for political stability.) The underlying factor that has created a foundation of stability on which these nations have been built is a serious will by the citizenry and their elected representatives to sustain democratic institutions and processes. Mauritius lurched from one political crisis to another until its road to Damascus moment in the 1990s when the island’s leaders and people chose to pursue a democratic path as a means to achieve economic advancement. The dedication has paid off handsomely, and Mauritius is poised to acquire Africa’s first developed economy within a few years. Another island nation, Cape Verde, has shown equal commitment to political stability, and has been rewarded as the African location most Googled on the internet for holiday enquiries, as the country’s peaceful reputation spreads globally.

As mentioned, the people of Botswana have never varied from their commitment to a strong democracy, which has led to over 50 years of a political stability that is the envy of many other African countries. A quarter century after Botswana was established, Namibia was born in 1990 with a constitution pledged to the empowerment of democratic institutions beyond the ambitions of any leader. Namibians have stayed the course of that pledge.

Supporters of Ghana’s President Nana Akufo-Addo of the New Patriotic Party (NPP) dance during swearing-in in Accra, Ghana. Image courtesy: https://nation.com.pk/print_images/large/2017-01-08/ghana-politics-1483829828-9429.jpg

 

Despite being Sub-Saharan Africa’s oldest independent nation, political stability for Ghana is relatively new. The country was destabalised for 25 years by authoritarian regimes that replaced each other through coups d’état. The final coup was staged by Lt. Jerry Rawlings in 1981, who assumed complete power by banning political parties. In 1992, Rawlings, bolstered by popularity gained through economy-building efforts, allowed multi-party politics and stood for election. He won, and was re-elected in 1996, but was barred by the constitution from having additional terms. Unlike other African leaders who change their constitutions to stay longer in power, Rawlings stepped aside. Ghana’s 2016 presidential election resulted in the unseating of incumbent president John Mahama by an opposition party leader Nana Akufo-Addo. The resulting peaceful transfer of power was still sufficiently rare in African politics as to be lauded throughout the continent and internationally.

 

 

 

 

 

The following map illustrates the Top 10 and Bottom 10 politically stable performers in the 2017 Africa Country Benchmark Report (ACBR).


 

The Africa Country Benchmark Report (ACBR) assesses the performance of all 54 African countries in an 750-page, infographic-driven report. This report is a key resource for any business, government, organisation or institution that will find value in country-specific and comparative assessments of African countries. Find out more at: http://www.inonafrica.com/africa-country-benchmark-report-acbr

 

[1] https://images.dailymaverick.co.za/images/resized_images/849x493q70Mills-Botswana-subbed-MAIN-PHOTO.jpg