IOA Position Papers
South Africa's Top 10 Exports Under AGOA 2022

Defending against the global trade war: the South Africa strategy

Analysis in brief: Africa, with its developing export economies, is more vulnerable than other continents to the US-initiated global trade war. To avoid major economic disruptions, countries like South Africa are making strategic plans.

The US sparked a global trade war in January 2025 by mounting an offensive against, first, its largest trade partners and then the entire world, prompting defensive responses from other nations. Retaliatory tariffs put in place by targeted countries became countermeasures in response to sudden and high US tariffs on their products. Major Western countries were astounded but not daunted because of the size and resiliency of their economies. Unfortunately for African countries whose developing economies are delicate and more vulnerable to external shocks like tariffs, the US trade war might lead to the collapse of industries and increased unemployment and poverty.

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Africa's Share of Global Critical Mineral Reserves 2023

The growing importance of rare earth minerals in African mining

Analysis in brief: 2025 is predicted to be a tipping point for the mining of rare earth minerals in Africa. The continent’s output will make significant strides towards a projected accomplishment of providing 10% of global supply within five years. This begins this year as new mining endeavours in Malawi, South Africa and other countries begin operations.

While rare earth minerals are commonplace throughout the earth’s crust, they are described as rare because they tend to be distributed widely but not in concentrated areas that make mining viable. Advantaged by several areas of concentrated minerals, China is the world’s leading producer of rare earth minerals today, accounting for 70% of global supply. There are also abundant pockets in parts of Southern Africa. When Malawi’s Songwe Hill and South Africa’s Steenkampskraal advance to full mining production in 2025, the African continent will take two large steps towards exploiting its critical mineral reserves. These stand at nearly one-third of the world’s reserves (30%), which are being exploited now at a growing rate.

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African Announced International Project Finance Deals, Selected Industries 2021-2023

Where investors are eyeing Africa for opportunities in 2025

Analysis in brief: Investors seeking profits in Africa are centring their focus on four broad sectors: energy, agriculture, healthcare and infrastructure. The application of new technologies is making opportunities in Africa even more appealing for the new year.

This article focuses on four key economic sectors that will drive investment trends across Africa in 2025, emphasizing their Pan-African scope rather than focusing on specific countries. For example, every African country has an agriculture sector in need of expansion, and each has (to some degree) sunshine and wind that can be harnessed as a source for clean and renewable energy, with the consequence that investors are focusing on the development of technologies and energy solutions that may be applied in most parts of Africa. Healthcare is another area whose scope is continental, yet every country has infrastructure requiring improvement.

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Africawide and regional climate change finance needs

Top 5 developments to transform Africa in 2025

Analysis in brief: The past year brought developments that should reap political, economic and cultural opportunities for Africa in 2025. A summation of the most important of these shows an economically maturing Africa, gaining prominence on the world stage.

Each new year brings new opportunities for investment and business deals that are made possible by encouraging economic developments, which in turn are facilitated by promising political developments. The year 2025 offers new opportunities based on 2024’s advancements, which established trends that seem likely to come into greater focus in the months ahead. This article discusses five forecasts that are likely to influence the fortunes of investors in 2025.

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Voting Day

2024 Year in Review: The political trends that shaped Africa at the quarter century mark

Analysis in brief: Political developments in 2024 were largely extensions of events from the previous year and further back into the past. Key elections, though presenting what appeared to be political ‘surprises’, were actually predictable.

Wars and coups d’état are events that often appear to break out suddenly. However, long-term observers of political developments recognise that such acts always have antecedents. This was the case in 2024, when no surprises startled political and economic observers closely following African trends. Looking at the year, it is apparent that seeds for 2025’s developments have been sown across every field of human endeavour, just as the events of 2024 were rooted in the recent past or in decades-long but ongoing developments.

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Nollywood film crew at work in Awka

Nigeria creates Africa’s first international and profitable film industry

Analysis in brief: Nicknamed Nollywood, Nigeria’s filmmaking sector has succeeded both financially and in establishing Africa’s first film product to win continental viewers and global audiences, potentially expanding the sphere for investment in the industry.

In 2024, a historical trend was reversed. Nollywood, the film industry of Nigeria, has outsold Hollywood films in Nigerian cinema for the first time, while extending its reach to all corners of the globe accessible by satellite feed.

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Securing Africa’s food security against new challenges

Analysis in brief: Spurred by conflict crises that interrupt agricultural activities and climate change that is compromising food production, efforts to make Africa self-sufficient in food are achieving tangible results. Some are technological breakthroughs; others are regulatory and trade reforms. All must be focused on Africa’s primary food producers: the small farmers.

A small farmer is defined as a farmer who produces on less than one hectare of land. In Africa, there are an estimated 33 million small farms who feel Africa’s current food crises most strongly. These crises are fuelled by problems, old and new: from internal conflicts like in Sudan and regional tensions, such as the effect of Russia’s 2022 invasion of Ukraine, who provided Africa with significant amounts of grain, to climate change that has worsened flooding and drought. New realities call for new solutions. Encouragingly, these are being supplied. Some are technological, such as strengthening food storage and transportation cold chains, while others are diplomatic and regulatory in nature.

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New landscape proves fertile for small enterprises

Analysis in brief: Small, start-up businesses are proving a viable and sustainable way to grow African economies and provide employment. Driven by a desire to be their own bosses, new entrepreneurs are using their knowledge of the needs of their local markets to provide products and services, while new means of marketing and access to intra-Africa trade are providing unprecedented opportunities for ambitious business visionaries.

Micro, small and medium enterprises (MSMEs) comprise most businesses in Africa’s formal economic sector, and they employ more people. While the informal sector in Africa actually is larger and a greater employer, MSMEs exist within the rules, regulations and financial institutions of the formal sector. As registered businesses, they are the innovations of entrepreneurs who find the challenge and rewards of starting and sustaining a successful business alluring.

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Africa moves to finally harvest its solar energy potential

Analysis in brief: Regular progress reports on Africa’s quest to meet its energy needs through solar power are necessary to gauge the continent’s progress towards this important development goal. Progress there continues to be, though the principal hindrance remains the challenge of funding solar projects.

The answer to Africa’s energy needs shines in plain sight. While 600 million or 43% of Africans live without electricity, Africa itself receives more bright sunlight than any other continent. The massive potential is largely unmet due to inadequate investment, leaving substantial needs unaddressed. To achieve the African Union’s goal of having all citizens of its member states enjoying electricity by 2030, US$25 billion must be invested annually in the energy sector. Current funding falls short, although investment is accelerating, particularly through private and public partnerships.

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Building for Africa’s water security

Analysis in brief: Water shortages have either created or exacerbated humanitarian crises in Africa, stalling economic development. Climate change, through worsening or causing droughts, has increased the pressure to secure reliable sources of water. As a result, new and sometimes large-scale water infrastructure projects are underway across the continent.

More than 300 million Africans, which is more than one out of five people living on the continent, do not have access to clean drinking water. Sub-Saharan Africa loses 5% of its combined regional GDP because of a lack of water, contaminated water, and poor water infrastructure, according to the International High-Level Panel on Water Investments for Africa (IHLPWIA). The body was launched in March 2022 during the 9th World Water Forum in Dakar to find a holistic and continent-wide solution to Africa’s perennial problem of water shortages. Run under the auspices of the African Union, the IHLPWIA found that African countries are losing over US$ 200 billion annually because of inadequate water infrastructure. The African Development Bank has also identified other economic consequences to the water insecurity situation. Every year, 40 billion hours of Africans’ time is used to collect water, with women and children being most burdened with the task – rural Ethiopians for example can spend as much as eight hours each day fetching water, and their Kenyan counterparts six.

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Top 5 startups in Africa

A business begun from scratch by its founder, using his or her own money or finding financial support from family and friends, had always been called a business before the name ‘startup’ came into vogue. Financing for a startup, which can be defined simply as a company in its fledgling stage, now includes venture capitalists, who the company’s founder convinces that the new enterprise is innovative and has great growth prospects, and crowdfunding, where masses of people buy into the new enterprise with online cash contributions.

Global investors have been attracted to the youthful entrepreneurship that characterises Africa’s business sector. For years, globalisation and the perpetuation of companies established during the colonial era have dominated African economies. However, nowadays, crowdfunding and venture capitalism have allowed Africans themselves to enter the African corporate space and marketplace. No one knows African markets better than the entrepreneurs who grew up within them. Consequently, African startup companies are found in all fields, from agriculture to consumer products, and particularly in new fields that fascinate young entrepreneurs like telecommunications and fintech.

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